tehran stock exchange dynamics in a markov regime switching egarch-in-mean model

Comparison of Performance of Traditional Value at Risk Models with Switching Model in Tehran Stock Exchange

The problem of portfolio optimization has made many advances since Markowitz proposed an average-variance-based optimization. It can be said that the most important achievement of the Markowitz model was the introduction of variance as a risk indicator and indeed, the introduction of a quantitative benchmark into it. This research is a model for predicting value at risk. This model extends the ...

Fads Models with Markov Switching Hetroskedasticity: decomposing Tehran Stock Exchange return into Permanent and Transitory Components

Stochastic behavior of stock returns is very important for investors and policy makers in the stock market. In this paper, the stochastic behavior of the return index of Tehran Stock Exchange (TEDPIX) is examined using unobserved component Markov switching model (UC-MS) for the 3/27/2010 until 8/3/2015 period. In this model, stock returns are decomposed into two components; a permanent componen...

Effect of Oil Price Volatility and Petroleum Bloomberg Index on Stock Market Returns of Tehran Stock Exchange Using EGARCH Model

The present research aims to evaluate impacts of crude oil price return index, Bloomberg Petroleum Index and Bloomberg energy index on stock market returns of 121 companies listed in Tehran stock exchange in a 10 years' period from early 2006 to April 2016. First, explanatory variables were aligned with petroleum products index mostly due to application of dollar data. Subsequently, to check va...

Bubbles In Tehran Stock Exchange

Stock market dynamics in a regime-switching asymmetric power GARCH model

This paper analyzes the dynamics of Asian stock index returns through a Regime-Switching Asymmetric Power GARCH model (RS-APGARCH). The model confirms some stylized facts already discussed in former studies but also highlights interesting new characteristics of stock market returns and volatilites. Mainly, it improves the traditional regime-switching GARCH models by including an asymmetric resp...

Developing a Paradigm for Fair Valuation in Tehran Stock Exchange

The concept of value is of great importance for investors. The goal of different groups of investors is always to maximize the value of their capital. The aim of this research is developing factors effective on securities in capital market in order to develop a paradigm for fair valuation that leads investors to make better decisions. To study fair value in a precise and comprehensive way, effe...